Sunday, January 17, 2010

CA Senate race tightens

Ma'am Sen. Boxer is still polling at less than 50% which is a danger sign for an incumbent. Rasmussen finds this regardless of whether she is matched against ex-HP CEO Carly Fiorina, state Assemblyman Chuck DeVore, or newly announced candidate ex Rep. Campbell. In all cases, and despite her opponent's relative lack of name recognition, Ma'am Boxer polls a mere 46%. Since November, Boxer's support is unchanged while the "not sure" and "other" voters have been switching to the Republican side. According to Rasmussen's poll of 500 likely voters, a Boxer-Fiorina race would look like:

CandidateNov 17Jan 14
Fiorina (R)

37%

43%
Boxer (D)

46%

46%

Other

5%

3%

Not Sure

12%

8%


Chuck DeVore's support has risen 4% since November:

CandidateNov 17Jan 14

DeVore (R)

36%

40%

Boxer (D)

46%

46%

Other

5%

4%

Not Sure

13%

10%

Newly announced candidate Tom Cambell has 42%:

CandidateNov 17Jan 14

Campbell(R)

--

42%

Boxer (D)

--

46%

Other

-- 3%

Not Sure

--


9%
Because only 500 voters were surveyed, the margin for error is +/- 4.5%.

Sen. Boxer polls are low despite the fact that, according to Rasmussen, support for Obamacare is stronger in California than in the rest of the Nation:
In California, 49% favor the health care plan, while 48% oppose it. But as in other states, the emotion is on the side of the opponents: Just 25% of California voters Strongly Favor the plan while 39% Strongly Oppose it.
PREVIOUSLY on Sen. Boxer:
Boxer and Kerry campaign for cap-and-tax
Cap and tax in the US Senate: a who's who of the villains and their committees
Boxer: never trust a well-dressed protester

PREVIOUSLY on the California politics and the current Governor's race:
Who is Meg Whitman?
Jerry Brown learns economics and the left objects
Law signed by ex-Gov Brown's pits tree huggers against global warmists

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